JonathanShi

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2022

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26.63	Weighted Average Score
Score	Question	Question Type
139.845	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
124.720	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Feb 5)	Continuous
99.339	Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2022?	Binary
85.209	What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 May 2022?	Continuous
80.515	In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, “I support granting legal rights to sentient robots/AIs.”?	Continuous
78.858	In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, “I support a global ban on the development of sentience in robots/AIs.”?	Continuous
77.445	Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022?	Binary
76.947	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Feb 19)	Continuous
73.638	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on March 11, 2022?	Continuous
72.228	Will Russian troops enter Odessa, Ukraine before December 31, 2022?	Binary
69.444	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
68.669	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Feb 19)	Continuous
67.539	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Jan 22)	Continuous
64.219	Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022?	Binary
61.994	What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 May 2022?	Continuous
61.956	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 11th of February, 2022?	Continuous
59.349	In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, “The welfare of robots/AIs is one of the most important social issues in the world today.”?	Continuous
58.513	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Feb 5)	Continuous
57.594	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
57.541	Will Russia substantially restrict emigration by April 1, 2022?	Binary
57.392	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Feb 5)	Continuous
55.786	Will Russia control Chernihiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
51.562	Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
49.568	Will Brent Crude Oil top $140/barrel before May 2022?	Binary
47.393	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 11th, 2022?	Continuous
47.342	Will any Fields Medal winner boycott ICM 2022 for political reasons?	Binary
46.967	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Feb 19)	Continuous
45.456	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on March 25, 2022?	Continuous
45.232	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 11th of March, 2022?	Continuous
44.421	When will Paxlovid be given FDA authorization or approval for patients who are not high-risk?	Continuous
44.412	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Feb 19)	Continuous
44.044	What will be Putin's approval rating value 3 months after the potential invasion of Ukraine?	Continuous
41.926	Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022?	Binary
41.526	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Feb 5)	Continuous
39.016	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Feb, 11 2022?	Continuous
38.108	Will more than 50,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
38.029	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Jan 22)	Continuous
37.311	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Jan 22)	Continuous
37.164	How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022?	Continuous
36.464	Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023?	Binary
36.443	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on February 11th, 2022?	Continuous
35.819	In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, "Robots/AIs may be harmful to future generations of people."?	Continuous
34.678	What will be the approval rating of Vladimir Putin in December 2022?	Continuous
34.487	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
34.240	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?	Continuous
34.085	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023?	Binary
31.569	Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
30.885	How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023?	Continuous
30.415	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?	Continuous
28.803	What will be the reported number of 7-day average new Covid-19 cases in Mainland China on 2022-02-28?	Continuous
28.338	Will Russian troops enter Lviv, Ukraine before December 31, 2022?	Binary
25.210	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?	Continuous
24.406	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Feb 5)	Continuous
22.306	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?	Continuous
21.718	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Mar 4, 2022?	Continuous
20.728	Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023?	Binary
20.403	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Mar 5)	Continuous
20.019	Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
20.009	Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022?	Binary
18.994	Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023?	Binary
18.530	If Russia vetoes the UN Security Council vote to condemn the invasion of Ukraine, will the UN General Assembly override the veto?	Binary
17.676	How many border crossings leaving Ukraine will there be in 2022?	Continuous
17.647	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 25th of March, 2022?	Continuous
17.595	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 28th of January, 2022?	Continuous
17.149	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Feb 18, 2022?	Continuous
16.891	Before 2022-04-01, will martial law be on in any five federal subjects of Russia excluding all the territories annexed after 2013?	Binary
16.289	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
15.721	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
15.417	Will Russia control Cherkasy on June 1, 2022?	Binary
15.337	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Jan 22)	Continuous
14.397	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Jan 22)	Continuous
14.349	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 18th of February, 2022?	Continuous
13.423	Will the UK authorise fourth doses of Covid vaccines for healthy adults in 2022?	Binary
13.382	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 4th of March, 2022?	Continuous
13.278	Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023?	Binary
13.235	How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022?	Continuous
12.699	Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022?	Binary
12.359	Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2023?	Binary
11.719	Will more than 25,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
11.566	Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022?	Binary
10.713	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Mar 5)	Continuous
9.651	In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults answered “Yes” to the statement, “Do you think it could ever be possible for robots/AIs to be sentient?”	Continuous
9.537	Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
9.118	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Mar 5)	Continuous
8.659	How many states in the United States will report having a case of monkeypox as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
7.162	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be named Time Person of the Year in 2022?	Binary
6.764	Will Russia control Vinnytsia on June 1, 2022?	Binary
6.371	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022?	Binary
6.253	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022?	Binary
5.890	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022?	Binary
5.851	By December 31, 2022, will at least 10,000 US troops move into Ukraine?	Binary
5.815	Before January 1, 2023, will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus?	Binary
5.812	Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?	Binary
5.414	Will Sweden's government initiate the process of joining NATO in 2022?	Binary
5.345	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Feb 19)	Continuous
5.311	Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022?	Binary
5.054	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Feb 19)	Continuous
4.457	Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023?	Binary
4.277	Will Odessa be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
4.052	Will Princeton cancel in person classes in January 2022?	Binary
3.874	What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Europe as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
3.681	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Feb 5)	Continuous
3.008	Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
2.653	[short fuse] Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight in 2022?	Binary
2.540	What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022?	Continuous
2.147	By February 6, 2022, will the James Webb Space Telescope successfully see First Light?	Binary
1.511	Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022?	Binary
1.375	Will Russia default on its debt in 2022?	Binary
1.213	If Russia invades Ukraine, will the United States cut Russian banks off from the SWIFT system by 2023?	Binary
0.775	Will Russian troops enter Mariupol, Ukraine by December 31, 2022?	Binary
0.144	Will the US sanction Russian oil or gas before 2023?	Binary
0.027	Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023?	Binary
-3.835	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Mar 5)	Continuous
-4.170	Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022?	Binary
-8.457	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Mar 5)	Continuous
-9.246	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Jan 28, 2022?	Continuous
-11.393	Will Russia invade Ukraine before February 1, 2022?	Binary
-14.854	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Jan 22)	Continuous
-15.611	Will Tether collapse before 2023?	Binary
-17.736	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
-18.335	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
-23.331	Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023?	Binary
-28.653	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Mar 5)	Continuous

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Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

JonathanShi

User

JonathanShi