| 92.647 | 98.7% | What coalition will the Prime Minister of France belong to on July 30, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 57.175 | 95.3% | Will Israel carry out a deadly attack within Iran before May 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 50.623 | 77.7% | Will SpaceX attempt to catch a Starship booster with the tower in 2024? | Binary |
| 46.964 | 96.4% | Will a US Vice Presidential debate be held before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 44.843 | 99.4% | Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024? | Binary |
| 44.192 | 99.4% | Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 43.627 | 75.0% | Will Ukrainian forces capture any of these locations before December 1, 2024? (Korenevo (51°24'37.7"N 34°54'02.2"E)) | Binary |
| 41.329 | 99.1% | What will Trump's lead over Biden be on July 15, 2024, according to 538's national polling average? | Continuous |
| 40.531 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 36.455 | 71.9% | Will Pavel Durov leave France before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 35.963 | 76.8% | What will be CDC's highest assessment of the risk posed by mpox to the US general public before January 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 35.710 | 99.4% | Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 35.602 | 62.7% | Will a debate be held between Joe Biden and Donald Trump before the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 34.611 | 99.4% | Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024? | Binary |
| 34.233 | 90.4% | Will the National Assembly of Hungary approve Sweden's NATO accession before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 33.985 | 94.6% | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Mozambique? | Multiple Choice |
| 33.592 | 81.0% | Will Macky Sall step down as president of Senegal at or before the currently scheduled end of his term? | Binary |
| 32.978 | 99.4% | Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024? | Binary |
| 32.475 | 98.7% | Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before September 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 32.469 | 89.0% | On October 1, 2024, what will be the status of Ukraine’s offensives reaching at least five miles into Russian territory? | Multiple Choice |
| 31.979 | 76.9% | When will the third Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff? | Continuous |
| 31.882 | 99.4% | Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024? | Binary |
| 31.498 | 99.4% | Will Bitcoin go up over 2024? | Binary |
| 31.253 | 84.6% | Will the International Court of Justice order provisional measures against Israel before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 30.829 | 84.6% | Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight in January 2024? | Binary |
| 30.357 | 99.4% | Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024? | Binary |
| 29.950 | 80.0% | Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before May 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 29.923 | 99.4% | Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024? | Binary |
| 29.831 | 99.4% | Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024? | Binary |
| 29.761 | 99.5% | Will YouTube be banned in Russia before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 29.725 | 99.4% | Will Ilya Sutskever still lead OpenAI’s Superalignment team at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 28.830 | 95.3% | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Moldova? | Multiple Choice |
| 28.830 | 75.0% | Will Ukrainian forces capture any of these locations before December 1, 2024? (Tetkino (51°16'45.1"N 34°16'57.7"E)) | Binary |
| 27.853 | 99.4% | Will the Fed Funds Rate on December 31, 2024 be below 4%? | Binary |
| 27.519 | 99.3% | Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024? | Binary |
| 25.811 | 99.4% | Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024? | Binary |
| 25.614 | 93.7% | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Sri Lanka? | Multiple Choice |
| 25.144 | 99.3% | Which party will win the 2024 US presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 24.592 | 89.0% | Who will win the 2024 Grand Chess Tour? | Multiple Choice |
| 24.048 | 20.7% | Who will win the 2024 Men's Ballon d'Or award? | Multiple Choice |
| 23.827 | 75.0% | Will Ukrainian forces capture any of these locations before December 1, 2024? (Glushkovo (51°20'43.9"N 34°38'54.9"E)) | Binary |
| 23.503 | 89.2% | Will Nikki Haley finish 2nd in the 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses? | Binary |
| 23.067 | 95.5% | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2025? | Binary |
| 22.461 | 90.0% | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Venezuela? | Multiple Choice |
| 22.233 | 99.4% | Will a crewed Artemis II flight approach the moon in 2024? | Binary |
| 21.928 | 82.0% | Will Trump and Biden shake hands in any of their debates? | Binary |
| 21.510 | 99.4% | Will the Shanghai (SSE) Composite Index go up over 2024? | Binary |
| 20.634 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Josh Shapiro) | Binary |
| 20.202 | 98.6% | Who will win the 2024 Mexican Presidential Election? | Multiple Choice |
| 19.780 | 79.3% | Will Sir Lindsay Hoyle remain speaker of the House of Commons until March 1st 2024? | Binary |
| 19.562 | 99.4% | Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024? | Binary |
| 18.868 | 99.5% | Who will win the Tour de France 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 18.863 | 67.6% | Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah on or before the first day of Ramadan (before March 12, 2024)? | Binary |
| 17.773 | 91.2% | Will any more of Trump's announced Cabinet picks drop out before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 17.493 | 75.0% | Will Ukrainian forces capture any of these locations before December 1, 2024? (B. Soldatskoe (51°20'15.4"N 35°30'27.1"E)) | Binary |
| 17.262 | 82.2% | Will India enact a law expanding the Minimum Support Price for crops before April 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 17.036 | 88.8% | Will California Senate Bill 1047, the "Safe and Secure Innovation for Frontier Artificial Intelligence Models Act," be enacted before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 16.917 | 90.7% | Will the "Dune: Part Two" domestic opening box office be greater than that of "Dune (2021)"? | Binary |
| 16.787 | 98.8% | Will the Crimean Bridge be hit with an attack before the listed dates? (July 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 16.712 | 68.0% | Who will win the popular vote in the 2024 United States presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 16.512 | 72.2% | What will the month over month percentage increase in core CPI inflation be in the US in August 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 16.457 | 99.4% | Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024? | Binary |
| 16.326 | 78.4% | Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 16.203 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Mark Kelly) | Binary |
| 16.155 | 48.1% | Will Donald Trump be convicted of a felony before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 15.343 | 31.9% | If Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination, will Nikki Haley endorse him before November 5th, 2024? | Binary |
| 15.110 | 84.6% | Will Edmundo González be deprived of liberty before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 14.897 | 94.9% | How many days will the Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue WA metro area experience an Air Quality Index value above 150 in the 3rd quarter of 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 14.003 | 97.3% | Before April 1, 2024, will Fani Willis cease to be an attorney for the prosecution in the State of Georgia v. Donald Trump, et al. case? | Binary |
| 13.856 | 57.4% | Will the submarine cables running through the Red Sea be damaged by a hostile actor before the 15th of March? | Binary |
| 13.817 | 60.0% | Will North Korea deploy military personnel to Ukraine before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 13.808 | 98.8% | Will gang leader José Adolfo Macías Villamar ('Fito') be in Ecuadorian custody before April 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 13.786 | 99.4% | Will Democrats have a brokered convention in 2024? | Binary |
| 13.160 | 65.7% | What will China's youth unemployment rate be for August 2024? | Continuous |
| 13.108 | 96.0% | Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 12.976 | 74.7% | What will be the value of Bitcoin (in USD) on April 1, 2024? | Continuous |
| 12.886 | 69.4% | Will Nvidia have the largest market cap in the world at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 12.649 | 99.4% | Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025? | Binary |
| 12.614 | 72.5% | Will Yoon Suk Yeol be President of South Korea on December 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 12.607 | 96.1% | Will Russia control Pokrovsk Before 2025? | Binary |
| 12.377 | 20.8% | Will a member of the United States Congress introduce legislation limiting the use of LLMs in 2024? | Binary |
| 11.976 | 84.9% | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Mauritania? | Multiple Choice |
| 11.963 | 49.3% | How many executive orders will Joe Biden sign after Election Day and before January 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 11.816 | 99.4% | Will the New Glenn launch vehicle reach an altitude of 100 kilometers in 2024? | Binary |
| 11.636 | 64.0% | Will a new or extended state of emergency be declared in Ecuador before April 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 11.573 | 94.9% | Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 11.407 | 85.6% | Will either of Donald Trump's campaign managers get fired, resign, or otherwise leave their positions before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 10.701 | 33.5% | By how many billion USD will Elon Musk’s net worth differ from the highest other net worth on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list as of January 1, 2025? | Continuous |
| 10.594 | 99.4% | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025? | Binary |
| 9.985 | 63.2% | Before July 1, 2024, will the International Criminal Court issue arrest warrants for any of the listed Israeli leaders? | Binary |
| 9.839 | 18.1% | Who will become President of Iran in the first round of voting? | Multiple Choice |
| 9.551 | 85.3% | Will the Republican Party retain New York's 3rd congressional district (previously held by George Santos) in the special election? | Binary |
| 9.236 | 71.3% | Will Bluesky reach 30 million users before 1 January 2025? | Binary |
| 9.127 | 84.9% | What will Keir Starmer's approval rating as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be on September 18, 2024? | Continuous |
| 9.070 | 84.3% | Will the Crimean Bridge be hit with an attack before the listed dates? (May 9, 2024) | Binary |
| 8.936 | 94.0% | Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.726 | 42.3% | Will Joe Biden announce before July 15, 2024 that he will not accept the Democratic Party's nomination for President? | Binary |
| 8.545 | 37.9% | Will the lithium carbonate (CNY/T) price fall below 70,000 before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 8.526 | 92.2% | By how much will the Fed cut rates at their September meeting? | Multiple Choice |
| 8.468 | 34.1% | Will Astro Bot win the Game of the Year 2024 award? | Binary |
| 8.191 | 98.5% | What will be the snow water equivalent of California's snowpack on March 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 7.904 | 63.6% | Who will be elected President of North Macedonia in 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 7.560 | 94.5% | Will the US government end its agreement directly allowing Verisign to manage the authoritative domain name registry for the .com TLD, before August 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 7.556 | 26.9% | Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 7.396 | 85.7% | Will President Biden issue an executive order on immigration before the State of the Union on March 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 7.303 | 58.8% | What will be the US national average retail price of regular gasoline on September 30, 2024, according to AAA? | Continuous |
| 6.848 | 59.4% | Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election in Chad? | Multiple Choice |
| 6.793 | 75.8% | Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election in Algeria? | Multiple Choice |
| 6.774 | 99.4% | Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024? | Binary |
| 6.667 | 77.0% | Will Fidesz-KDNP Maintain Its EU Plurality from Hungary in 2024? | Binary |
| 6.582 | 24.5% | On June 28th, 2024, will Nvidia's market capitalization be larger than Apple's? | Binary |
| 6.572 | 99.4% | Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election? | Binary |
| 6.509 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| 6.436 | 61.8% | Will Kais Saied be re-elected President of Tunisia in 2024? | Binary |
| 6.423 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 6.311 | 96.0% | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in South Sudan? | Multiple Choice |
| 6.069 | 58.0% | Who will be elected President of Lithuania in 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 6.022 | 89.1% | Will Ukrainian forces capture Rylsk, Russia before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 5.887 | 85.0% | Will Sheikh Hasina get asylum in the United Kingdom before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 5.291 | 41.0% | Will the Russian government officially ban YouTube before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 5.230 | 29.9% | Will a team that has never won the Super Bowl win in 2024? | Binary |
| 5.229 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Andy Beshear) | Binary |
| 5.218 | 99.4% | In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 5.133 | 16.0% | Which team will win the National League Central Division during the 2024 Major League Baseball season? | Multiple Choice |
| 5.132 | 34.9% | Will Eric Adams be Mayor of New York City on the 1st of January 2025? | Binary |
| 5.116 | 63.4% | Will Nigel Farage be elected as a Member of Parliament in the July 4 2024 UK General Election? | Binary |
| 4.931 | 83.5% | Will the Venezuelan electoral commission publish full results of the July 28 presidential election before August 12, 2024? | Binary |
| 4.711 | 88.9% | Will the USD be worth 0.935 EUR or more at the close of trading on any day before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 4.625 | 40.8% | Will the US Steel/Nippon Steel merger collapse before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 4.624 | 99.9% | Before October 1, 2024, will there be an armed forces death in a conflict opposing China to Taiwan, the United States, the Philippines, or Japan? | Binary |
| 4.527 | 85.4% | How many total human cases of H5 will CDC report in the United States on October 1, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 4.361 | 63.7% | Will a second round of voting be held in the 2024 Finnish presidential elections? | Binary |
| 4.340 | 30.7% | Will the majority of Russian soldiers in Syria withdraw before January 5, 2025? | Binary |
| 4.231 | 60.2% | Will at least one of Andrea Bocelli's concerts at Madison Square Garden on December 18 or 19, 2024 sell out? | Binary |
| 4.059 | 37.9% | Who will be elected President of Panama in 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 3.921 | 61.1% | Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader? (Tom Tugendhat) | Binary |
| 3.869 | 99.4% | Will X declare bankruptcy in 2024? | Binary |
| 3.806 | 16.6% | Will Edmundo González, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 3.688 | 8.7% | Will Israel invade Lebanon before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 3.678 | 93.1% | Will the opposition candidate, Edmundo González, concede the 2024 Venezuelan election to Maduro before September 2024? | Binary |
| 3.677 | 82.6% | Will another Chinese military aircraft violate Japanese territorial airspace before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 3.624 | 24.7% | Will the governor of Gagauzia, Evghenia Guțul, travel to the Russian Federation before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 3.585 | 60.0% | Will Bitcoin dominance exceed 63.0% on any single day in November or December 2024? | Binary |
| 3.335 | 48.3% | Who will be #1 on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List on June 28, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 3.277 | 85.1% | Before October 1, 2024, will Ethiopia and Somalia announce an agreement settling their dispute over the Somaliland port deal? | Binary |
| 3.180 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 3.168 | 94.9% | Will William Ruto cease to be President of Kenya before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 3.162 | 94.9% | Will the Atlantic Ocean's daily mean sea surface temperature surpass 2023's record peak temperature before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 3.131 | 88.2% | Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election in Rwanda? | Multiple Choice |
| 3.043 | 22.9% | Will Taylor Swift publicly endorse Kamala Harris for president before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 2.929 | 75.0% | Will Ukrainian forces capture any of these locations before December 1, 2024? (Kursk Nuclear Plant 51°40'30.1"N 35°36'11.5"E) | Binary |
| 2.929 | 99.4% | Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or diabetes in 2024? | Binary |
| 2.851 | 95.9% | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Namibia? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.836 | 56.4% | Will there be a US presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris held on September 10, 2024? | Binary |
| 2.765 | 91.2% | Will a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah be active on January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 2.725 | 46.0% | Will the White Sox lose 120 or more games in the 2024 MLB season? | Binary |
| 2.537 | 8.1% | Will Kimberly Cheatle remain Director of the United States Secret Service through September 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 2.008 | 27.1% | Will there be a white Christmas in at least 4 of these 9 large European cities in 2024? | Binary |
| 1.979 | 9.0% | Will a terrorist act occur in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics? | Binary |
| 1.978 | 34.8% | Will Donald Trump win the most delegates in the 2024 New Hampshire primary? | Binary |
| 1.884 | 40.1% | Will there be a new confrontation between Chinese and Philippine military vessels before April 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 1.759 | 95.5% | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Palau? | Multiple Choice |
| 1.738 | 61.3% | Will the WHO declare a global health emergency (PHEIC) in 2024? | Binary |
| 1.670 | 95.1% | Will the US Federal Reserve make an emergency rate cut before September 17, 2024? | Binary |
| 1.605 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 1.564 | 47.2% | Who will win the Speed Chess Championship 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 1.523 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Roy Cooper) | Binary |
| 1.492 | 15.1% | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in the Dominican Republic? | Multiple Choice |
| 1.487 | 5.1% | What percentage of the vote will Donald Trump win in the 2024 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary? | Continuous |
| 1.221 | 37.9% | Will Intel get dropped from the Dow Jones Industrial Average before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 1.194 | 85.5% | Before June 6, 2024, will there be an armed forces conflict death between China and Taiwan in 2024? | Binary |
| 1.173 | 2.5% | Will the Atlantic basin see more than 18 named storms in the 2024 hurricane season? | Binary |
| 1.164 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 1.137 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Amy Klobuchar) | Binary |
| 1.010 | 97.0% | Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza? | Binary |
| 0.959 | 96.0% | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Ghana? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.933 | 60.5% | Before October 1, 2024, will any of these prominent Democrats appear as guests on the Lex Fridman podcast? | Binary |
| 0.907 | 7.5% | Will diplomatic expulsions or recalls take place between the Philippines and China before August 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 0.790 | 19.4% | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspend his 2024 presidential campaign by October 22, 2024? | Binary |
| 0.765 | 4.5% | How many times will Donald Trump debate the Democratic nominee for president in 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.657 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 0.655 | 11.5% | Before April 1 2024, will the Supreme Court agree to hear an appeal from Donald Trump on the question of presidential immunity? | Binary |
| 0.601 | 12.7% | Will Individual Neutral Athletes Win ≥21 Gold Medals at the Paris 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| 0.513 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 0.459 | 61.1% | Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader? (Mel Stride) | Binary |
| 0.432 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Tammy Duckworth) | Binary |
| 0.419 | 61.1% | Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader? (Priti Patel) | Binary |
| 0.365 | 1.0% | Will the United States government either ban TikTok or force a sale before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.272 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Michael Bennet) | Binary |
| 0.252 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gary Peters) | Binary |
| 0.246 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gina Raimondo) | Binary |
| 0.227 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 0.227 | 71.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Jeff Jackson) | Binary |
| 0.147 | 84.0% | Will diplomatic expulsions or recalls take place between the Philippines and China before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 0.014 | 1.7% | Will Donald Trump and Kamala Harris shake hands in any of their debates, if any happen? | Binary |
| -0.465 | 33.0% | Will Ariel Henry cease to be Acting Prime Minister or Prime Minister of Haiti before April 1, 2024, for any reason? | Binary |
| -0.559 | 95.9% | Will the 2024 Indonesian presidential election go to a runoff? | Binary |
| -0.695 | 61.1% | Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader? (Robert Jenrick) | Binary |
| -0.991 | 56.9% | Will any of these large tech companies announce layoffs before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -1.052 | 42.5% | Will Oppenheimer win the most Oscar awards? | Binary |
| -1.424 | 90.1% | Will at least 50 Kenyan military or police personnel arrive in Haiti before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -2.226 | 22.5% | Who will win the 2024 World Chess Championship? | Multiple Choice |
| -2.625 | 56.1% | Will Nikki Haley end her 2024 primary campaign before March 15, 2024? | Binary |
| -2.884 | 11.8% | Before August 22, 2024, will President Joe Biden take any of these specific actions to end his candidacy for re-election? | Binary |
| -2.905 | 90.0% | Will Apple announce an iPhone with 40W fast charging by the end of its September 2024 event? | Binary |
| -3.938 | 95.6% | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Somaliland? | Multiple Choice |
| -6.274 | 34.8% | How many major hurricanes will occur in 2024 Atlantic hurricane season? | Multiple Choice |
| -7.753 | 36.6% | Will a swimmer win the most gold medals at the 2024 Paris Olympics? | Binary |
| -7.885 | 58.6% | Will the domestic opening weekend box office revenue of Mufasa: The Lion King exceed that of Sonic the Hedgehog 3? | Binary |
| -8.186 | 13.3% | Will leading Democratic lawmakers publicly call for Joe Biden to end his candidacy for the Democratic nomination before August 7, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| -8.645 | 48.3% | What will be the largest number of Chinese aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) in a single day between August 15 and September 15, 2024? | Continuous |
| -8.677 | 99.2% | Will US refugee admissions exceed 100,000 in fiscal year 2024? | Binary |
| -8.971 | 96.1% | Will former First Lady of Pakistan Bushra Bibi be arrested before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -9.946 | 96.2% | What will be the preliminary value of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in February 2024? | Continuous |
| -10.606 | 61.1% | Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader? (Kemi Badenoch) | Binary |
| -13.893 | 97.0% | Will Nvidia be in the top four companies by market capitalization on March 29, 2024? | Binary |
| -17.066 | 21.9% | Will the United States strike the Iranian military before February 7, 2024? | Binary |
| -20.613 | 94.0% | Will OpenAI's o1 remain the top LLM in all categories of Chatbot Arena on December 30, 2024? | Binary |
| -22.511 | 61.1% | Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader? (James Cleverly) | Binary |
| -26.125 | 99.3% | Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024? | Binary |
| -28.383 | 37.9% | How many major Atlantic hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur in September 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| -33.233 | 90.0% | Will the domestic box office opening of "Deadpool & Wolverine" be higher than that of "Deadpool" and "The Wolverine" combined? | Binary |
| -37.191 | 95.6% | Will at least two of the three listed moon landing missions successfully land on the moon before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -42.596 | 93.4% | What will be the close price of the Shanghai Composite Index (SSE) on December 30, 2024? | Continuous |
| -48.290 | 22.5% | Will France have a new Prime Minister before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -56.475 | 90.0% | What will be the Accumulated Cyclone Energy of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season on October 7, 2024? | Continuous |
| -76.395 | 69.2% | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Iceland? | Multiple Choice |
| -139.946 | 32.1% | Will Starliner Calypso undock from ISS before September 16? | Binary |