BrendanFinan

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2025

Peer Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to others. Users are ranked by the sum of their Peer scores, divided by the sum of their Coverages. This creates a weighted average, where each prediction is counted proportionally to how long it was standing. To reduce the impact of luck, all forecasters start with a prior of 30 questions with a score of 0. Learn more here.

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19.76		Weighted Average Score
Score	Coverage	Question	Question Type
150.222	90.1%	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?	Continuous
103.545	78.3%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World)	Continuous
90.846	91.9%	How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?	Continuous
77.834	99.5%	What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter?	Continuous
76.231	92.6%	Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?	Binary
74.469	88.0%	How many parties will be in the next German parliament?	Multiple Choice
69.596	95.6%	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD)	Continuous
57.770	89.7%	What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)?	Continuous
53.987	94.4%	Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?	Binary
52.916	95.0%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights)	Continuous
52.067	95.6%	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN)	Continuous
50.567	81.3%	What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025?	Continuous
42.207	95.8%	Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?	Binary
38.579	93.6%	Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place?	Binary
24.954	91.5%	What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?	Continuous
20.714	95.5%	Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?	Binary
16.660	93.2%	Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?	Multiple Choice
9.120	14.0%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services))	Binary
7.026	12.2%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence))	Binary
2.804	87.0%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey)	Continuous
-10.875	95.7%	What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
-13.184	90.1%	What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025?	Continuous
-23.556	95.6%	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?	Binary
-47.346	90.0%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print))	Binary
-84.376	72.1%	What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025?	Continuous
-132.745	90.3%	What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025?	Continuous

BrendanFinan

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