quinoa

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Duration:1 year
Time Period:2025
Peer Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to others. Users are ranked by the sum of their Peer scores, divided by the sum of their Coverages. This creates a weighted average, where each prediction is counted proportionally to how long it was standing. To reduce the impact of luck, all forecasters start with a prior of 30 questions with a score of 0. Learn more here.
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36.57
Weighted Average Score
ScoreCoverageQuestionQuestion Type
113.437100.0%How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?Continuous
104.92299.8%How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights)Continuous
79.64880.1%What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025?Continuous
71.10694.1%On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD)Continuous
71.06094.1%On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN)Continuous
65.595100.0%What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?Continuous
65.19299.9%What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025?Continuous
59.67686.6%Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?Binary
58.05583.0%Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?Binary
56.50840.4%What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025?Continuous
55.58988.7%What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament?Multiple Choice
55.42281.4%What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025?Continuous
53.54799.0%How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World)Continuous
45.77938.9%How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?Continuous
44.09499.8%Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?Binary
43.30669.5%Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?Continuous
41.39198.8%What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025?Continuous
37.53758.8%Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?Binary
34.92284.4%What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025?Continuous
31.98099.4%How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey)Continuous
26.25787.3%Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?Binary
25.53938.2%What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?Continuous
25.30979.5%Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?Binary
24.62485.0%What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025?Continuous
23.42169.3%What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025)Continuous
21.15358.9%What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025)Continuous
20.24269.3%Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025?Binary
17.43499.9%Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?Multiple Choice
14.65354.4%Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025?Binary
13.00054.6%Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%?Binary
11.27731.4%What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)?Continuous
10.07437.6%What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025)Continuous
9.34418.1%Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services))Binary
4.43516.3%Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence))Binary
-45.16543.0%What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?Continuous
-74.13394.1%Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print))Binary

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