nmpp

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Duration:1 year
Time Period:2025
Peer Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to others. Users are ranked by the sum of their Peer scores, divided by the sum of their Coverages. This creates a weighted average, where each prediction is counted proportionally to how long it was standing. To reduce the impact of luck, all forecasters start with a prior of 30 questions with a score of 0. Learn more here.
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39.21
Weighted Average Score
ScoreCoverageQuestionQuestion Type
121.12496.1%What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025?Continuous
117.79497.8%How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights)Continuous
100.40593.2%Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print))Binary
96.88379.0%What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025?Continuous
88.61399.0%On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN)Continuous
87.91191.6%What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025?Continuous
87.57979.1%Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?Continuous
80.68565.9%Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?Continuous
80.61491.4%What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025?Continuous
75.92589.6%What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025?Continuous
73.79588.7%What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025?Continuous
66.26997.5%Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place?Binary
63.66179.7%What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025?Continuous
60.87175.0%How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025?Continuous
55.19499.0%On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD)Continuous
54.76177.0%How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025?Multiple Choice
51.67176.7%How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025?Multiple Choice
50.96168.5%Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?Binary
50.77077.7%What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025?Continuous
48.67391.9%What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025?Multiple Choice
44.40589.6%What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025?Continuous
43.37560.1%Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?Binary
43.05898.2%Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?Binary
39.58974.9%What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025?Multiple Choice
38.12190.7%How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World)Continuous
37.89691.4%What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units?Continuous
31.71775.5%How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week?Multiple Choice
30.91789.3%Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?Binary
30.71665.9%Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?Binary
29.14393.8%What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament?Multiple Choice
28.04295.1%How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?Continuous
22.57750.3%Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from?Multiple Choice
21.17570.2%Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?Binary
20.11448.2%What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025?Continuous
19.51265.6%Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025?Binary
17.97665.6%What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025)Continuous
16.44089.1%Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?Multiple Choice
16.29653.9%What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025)Continuous
13.95948.9%Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025?Binary
13.28394.4%How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey)Continuous
12.21748.9%Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%?Binary
10.42714.7%How many parties will be in the next German parliament?Multiple Choice
9.84630.1%What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025)Continuous
9.32689.7%By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup?Multiple Choice
3.6884.0%What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?Continuous
0.01217.2%Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services))Binary
-7.91315.4%Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence))Binary
-17.21386.8%What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter?Continuous
-18.65996.1%How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?Continuous
-31.05293.8%What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)?Continuous
-47.11498.2%What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?Continuous
-73.80694.7%What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025?Continuous
-94.49395.4%What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?Continuous
-118.41788.2%What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025?Continuous

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