Strider

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2025

Peer Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to others. Users are ranked by the sum of their Peer scores, divided by the sum of their Coverages. This creates a weighted average, where each prediction is counted proportionally to how long it was standing. To reduce the impact of luck, all forecasters start with a prior of 30 questions with a score of 0. Learn more here.

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52.97		Weighted Average Score
Score	Coverage	Question	Question Type
153.907	88.4%	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?	Continuous
111.980	99.2%	What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament?	Multiple Choice
105.241	90.0%	How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?	Continuous
102.959	85.4%	What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025?	Continuous
92.997	94.5%	What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
82.266	58.2%	What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
75.188	94.4%	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?	Binary
74.926	82.5%	How many parties will be in the next German parliament?	Multiple Choice
72.867	95.4%	What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025?	Continuous
72.534	91.0%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights)	Continuous
71.658	90.8%	Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?	Binary
70.983	86.7%	What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025?	Continuous
66.365	88.1%	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?	Continuous
63.278	95.6%	How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025?	Multiple Choice
63.169	59.5%	What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025?	Continuous
62.615	98.7%	What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025?	Continuous
61.234	93.6%	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
58.639	90.7%	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN)	Continuous
56.380	88.7%	What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?	Continuous
55.143	89.3%	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?	Binary
52.126	76.0%	What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025?	Continuous
50.968	96.6%	Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?	Binary
49.114	90.7%	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD)	Continuous
47.822	89.9%	Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from?	Multiple Choice
47.805	98.9%	What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025?	Continuous
46.056	98.9%	What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025?	Multiple Choice
45.654	92.7%	What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
44.035	90.1%	Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?	Binary
43.282	98.9%	What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025?	Continuous
42.073	91.3%	What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025?	Multiple Choice
39.453	91.9%	How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
38.004	22.6%	What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?	Continuous
35.122	83.2%	What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)?	Continuous
31.605	98.7%	What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025?	Continuous
31.109	94.9%	Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?	Binary
30.958	91.6%	How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week?	Multiple Choice
30.047	99.0%	What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units?	Continuous
28.276	78.2%	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025)	Continuous
28.124	84.0%	Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025?	Binary
27.596	61.5%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World)	Continuous
27.504	85.7%	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025)	Continuous
24.464	84.5%	Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%?	Binary
22.632	89.3%	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025)	Continuous
17.851	88.3%	Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025?	Binary
17.440	93.9%	What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
17.215	94.6%	Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?	Multiple Choice
14.845	83.0%	What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025?	Continuous
14.402	98.7%	By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup?	Multiple Choice
9.998	92.4%	How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025?	Continuous
7.396	12.1%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services))	Binary
6.885	91.4%	Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place?	Binary
5.723	10.3%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence))	Binary
-0.546	76.8%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey)	Continuous
-81.636	98.3%	What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter?	Continuous
-195.166	88.1%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print))	Binary

Strider

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