lpk

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2025

Peer Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to others. Users are ranked by the sum of their Peer scores, divided by the sum of their Coverages. This creates a weighted average, where each prediction is counted proportionally to how long it was standing. To reduce the impact of luck, all forecasters start with a prior of 30 questions with a score of 0. Learn more here.

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21.88		Weighted Average Score
Score	Coverage	Question	Question Type
104.563	59.7%	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?	Continuous
98.210	77.7%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights)	Continuous
75.135	64.1%	How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?	Continuous
66.351	87.6%	Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?	Binary
66.076	83.2%	What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025?	Continuous
65.479	80.5%	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?	Binary
54.751	89.2%	Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place?	Binary
46.867	92.1%	What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
44.457	92.2%	Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?	Binary
42.256	65.4%	What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025?	Continuous
30.782	52.2%	What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?	Continuous
30.462	65.4%	Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?	Binary
21.492	83.6%	What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025?	Continuous
18.528	54.9%	What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)?	Continuous
15.411	87.3%	Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?	Multiple Choice
9.416	42.1%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey)	Continuous
2.011	6.0%	Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025?	Binary
1.964	3.7%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World)	Continuous
-0.580	7.8%	Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025?	Binary
-6.098	74.2%	Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?	Binary
-22.473	26.0%	How many parties will be in the next German parliament?	Multiple Choice
-106.505	75.8%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print))	Binary

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