bjenei

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Duration:1 year
Time Period:2025
Peer Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to others. Users are ranked by the sum of their Peer scores, divided by the sum of their Coverages. This creates a weighted average, where each prediction is counted proportionally to how long it was standing. To reduce the impact of luck, all forecasters start with a prior of 30 questions with a score of 0. Learn more here.
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20.02
Weighted Average Score
ScoreCoverageQuestionQuestion Type
104.98776.5%What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament?Multiple Choice
77.89776.2%What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025?Continuous
73.50080.3%What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025?Continuous
57.97972.9%Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?Binary
57.96467.7%What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025?Continuous
43.94440.3%What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025?Continuous
43.19266.6%How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights)Continuous
38.07327.8%What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025?Continuous
35.77433.9%How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?Continuous
31.71968.6%Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?Binary
31.61170.7%On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD)Continuous
29.70280.0%How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025?Multiple Choice
28.80283.4%What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units?Continuous
27.83763.5%Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?Continuous
20.79131.3%What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025?Multiple Choice
20.70363.1%Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025?Binary
20.30045.4%Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?Binary
17.21837.2%What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?Continuous
16.84426.2%What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025?Multiple Choice
16.15056.2%Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place?Binary
16.02626.0%How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?Continuous
15.70437.6%What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025?Continuous
14.83280.7%By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup?Multiple Choice
14.04155.6%Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%?Binary
11.13738.0%Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?Binary
10.16943.7%Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?Binary
9.92967.9%What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?Continuous
8.7019.7%What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025?Continuous
8.42717.0%What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)?Continuous
8.23736.8%Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025?Binary
5.66570.7%On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN)Continuous
2.75828.1%How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week?Multiple Choice
1.4894.1%Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from?Multiple Choice
1.13847.0%What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025)Continuous
0.1760.1%What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025?Continuous
0.1250.2%What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025?Continuous
-0.08613.2%How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey)Continuous
-1.75365.1%What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025)Continuous
-2.64533.7%Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?Multiple Choice
-6.96057.8%Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?Binary
-9.54421.0%How many parties will be in the next German parliament?Multiple Choice
-9.79230.5%How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025?Multiple Choice
-12.09684.0%What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025?Continuous
-14.20026.3%How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025?Continuous
-20.40473.9%What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025)Continuous
-52.90584.1%Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?Continuous
-62.71383.1%What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter?Continuous
-272.80566.7%Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print))Binary

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