jzima

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2023

The Question Writing category rewards authoring engaging questions as determined by the number of forecasters divided by ten. Medals are awarded annually with rankings determined by an h-index to reward a balance of both the # of questions and their engagement. Learn more here.

We sometimes recruit upstanding members of the community who are excellent question writers to become paid moderators.

Fill out our expression of interest form if you would like to be considered.

6.88	H-Index
Forecasters	Question
458	Will humans go extinct before 2100?
112	Will there be at least 2˚C of global warming by 2100?
112	Will Elon Musk personally go to Mars?
103	How much global warming by 2100?
82	Will a world war begin before 2151?
63	When will Alexander Lukashenko leave power in Belarus?
62	Will Tesla become the largest car company in the world (by sales) before 2035?
59	Will Metaculus exist in 2030?
53	Will Kessler syndrome occur before 2050?
53	Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?
27	Will there be a Vegan Country by 2100?
27	Will Ray Kurzweil be proven right?
26	Will the richest person in the world in 2033 have a net worth equivalent to or greater than 2% of the United States' GDP at the time?
12	When will be the first year that the 2˚C climate threshold is crossed?
9	Will we reach the island of stability by 2050?
4	How large will the global market for perovskite solar cells be (in millions of dollars) in 2030?
0	Will cost-adjusted IT technology be worse than it was 8 years (32 quarters) ago in at least one quarter prior to 2030?