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Experimenting With Metaculus Communities — Collaborate With Us

by christian {{qctrl.question.publish_time | dateStr}} Edited on {{qctrl.question.edited_time | dateStr}} {{"estimatedReadingTime" | translate:({minutes: qctrl.question.estimateReadingTime()})}}
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  • Update, September 9th: These spaces are now named 'Metaculus Communities' rather than 'minitaculuses'.


    We're experimenting with hosting more specialized forecasting spaces called Metaculus Communities, managed by volunteer curators. A Community might be dedicated to a particular area of inquiry — like the workings of a particular industry, or questions taking a deep dive on a topic. A Community can be the venue for a series of niche economic forecasts, or a collection of questions focused on a single city or region. And importantly, Community curators can make questions public in a matter of minutes and can resolve them at will.

    Metaculus is transitioning to open source development soon, and we're interested in experimenting with more ways to decentralize and diversify forecasting. Giving more forecasters the opportunity to manage their own spaces and create questions for others to forecast can lead to a richer variety of forecasting questions on offer.

    We've invited a few forecasters to create their own spaces, and you can find these below. Right now these are very much an experiment, but we're investigating what tools we can give curators, and how to best present these spaces to give them their own look and feel.

    Are you interested in setting up your own space? What do you want to collaborate on? Reach out.

    Note that Communities operate largely independently from the usual Metaculus moderation process. You might find different styles of question operationalization; curators will vary in how detailed their resolution criteria are and how they approach question resolution. To that, your scores on Community questions do not contribute to your track record or standing on the Metaculus leaderboards. We're still considering what scoring regime is most sensible for Communities. Let us know what you'd like to see.

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