Question

Will advanced LIGO announce discovery of gravitational waves by Jan. 31 2016?

Resolved :No

5 comments5

Total Forecasters10

Community Prediction65%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 65%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-55.2

Community Peer Score

-2.2

median 65.0%mean 58.1%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Scientists watch in unbelievable detail as galaxy smashes into another at two million miles per hour

Independent•Nov 23, 2024

SpaceX gets closer to huge increase in annual Texas launches as FAA environmental assessment advances

FOX News•Nov 26, 2024

Scientists come up with a way to save Earth from a catastrophic asteroid collision

Daily Mail•Nov 26, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

68.5%

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

53%

Will a third LIGO detector be built in India before 2028?

30.1%

Comments

? comments