Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Japan's Hayabusa2 spacecraft's lander or rovers successfully land on the asteroid Ryugu?

Resolved :Yes85%
13
10
Total Forecasters97
Community Prediction85% (74% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
60.2
Community Peer Score
1.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Space
Natural Sciences
Technology
2018 Leaderboard
Astronomy
Astrophysics
Hayabusa2
162173 Ryugu
Planetary science
Japan

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