Question

When will the United States reopen its embassy in Kabul Afghanistan?

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction2028-07-15 (2027-03-29 - 2030-11-12)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	Mar 2027	Jul 2028	Nov 2030
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Mar 2027	—
median	Jul 2028	—
upper 75%	Nov 2030	—

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 1, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

US Department of State

Kabul

Embassy of the United States, Kabul

United States

U.S., and some Taliban, condemn move to suspend medical education for women and girls in Afghanistan

NBC•Feb 16, 2025

New U.S. embassy, new U.S. ambassador in Mexico City

American Thinker•Feb 16, 2025

Opinion | It’s Time for the U.S. to Reach Out to the Taliban

New York Times•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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65%

Will Pakistan recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

80%

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