Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many troops of the NATO Response Force will deploy to the frontline states in 2022?

Resolved :Below lower bound27.7k
4
4
Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction27.7k (15.6k - 37.5k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<3k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>45k
...
...
...
...
...
6.8%
15.64k
27.66k
37.47k
11.7%

What was the final result?Below lower bound

Community Baseline Score
-68.1
Community Peer Score
35.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
EvanHarper
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
2022 Leaderboard
Russo-Ukrainian War
Estonia
Latvia
Finland
Norway
Sweden
Poland
Lithuania
NATO Response Force

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