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M

Question

Will a state actor successfully use an ASAT weapon against a foreign satellite before 2024?

Resolved :No1%
11
15
Total Forecasters66
Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
84.0
Community Peer Score
13.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
evanbd
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
Economy & Business
Technology
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Anti-satellite weapon
Physics
Military science
War in Donbass
Aerospace engineering
Ukraine
Russia

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