Question

Will a state actor successfully use an ASAT weapon against a foreign satellite before 2024?

Resolved :No1%

15 comments15

Total Forecasters66

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

84.0

Community Peer Score

13.8

Authors:

evanbd

Opened:

Nov 1, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Geopolitics

Economy & Business

Technology

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Anti-satellite weapon

Physics

Military science

War in Donbass

Aerospace engineering

Ukraine

Russia

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