Question

Will the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) bite a big company?

Resolved :Yes87%

16 comments16

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction87% (75% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 87%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

16.0

Community Peer Score

6.5

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Fruo

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Computing and Math

2018-2019 Leaderboard

European Union

United States

General Data Protection Regulation

More tech regulation cometh.

Verge•Dec 16, 2024

Meta fined $263M over 2018 security breach that affected ~3M EU users

TechCrunch•Dec 17, 2024

Facebook owner hit with 251 million euros in fines for 2018 data breach

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the largest GDPR fine before 2031, measured in billions of Euros?

2.99

Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?

10%

When will the US adopt national general-purpose data protection regulations?

2032-11-28

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