Question

Will the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) bite a big company?

Resolved :Yes

16 comments16

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction87%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 87%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

16.0

Community Peer Score

6.5

median 87.0%mean 82.9%

Authors:

Fruo

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

General Data Protection Regulation

What will be the largest GDPR fine before 2031, measured in billions of Euros?

2.99

Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?

10%

When will the US adopt national general-purpose data protection regulations?

2032-11-28

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Fruo

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

General Data Protection Regulation

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EU fines Meta $840 million for 'abusive' Facebook ad practices

Raw Story•Nov 15, 2024

Meta fined 798 million euros ($846m) for breaking EU antitrust rules

Al Jazeera•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the largest GDPR fine before 2031, measured in billions of Euros?

2.99

Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?

10%

When will the US adopt national general-purpose data protection regulations?

2032-11-28