M

Question

How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023?

Resolved :19.5k19.8k
Total Forecasters309
Community Prediction19.8k (18.9k - 21k)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%18.92k
median19.77k
upper 75%21.02k
Upper bound
>100k0.2%

What was the final result?19.5k

Community Baseline Score
75.4
Community Peer Score
49.3
Opened:Mar 2, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 23, 2023

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