Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the US sanction Russian oil or gas before 2023?

Resolved :Yes99%
14
25
Total Forecasters301
Community Prediction99% (99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
2.1
Community Peer Score
0.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Ukraine Conflict
Geopolitics
2022 Leaderboard
Russo-Ukrainian War
White House
United States
Russia

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