Question

Will Sweden join NATO before 2024?

Resolved :No

222 comments222

Total Forecasters1168

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-181.9

Community Peer Score

14.4

median 1.0%mean 1.7%

Authors:

moscars

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Ukraine Conflict

Geopolitics

Russo-Ukrainian War

Ukraine–NATO relations

Sweden

NATO

Will Trump stop Ukraine from joining NATO?

Strategic Culture•Nov 14, 2024

Ukraine: Conflict at the Crossroads of Europe and Russia

•Nov 17, 2024

Sweden tells citizens to prepare for WAR: Five million households get pamphlets on how to get their home ready for nuclear armageddon... as Biden is accused of trying to start World War Three

Daily Mail•Nov 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine join NATO before 2035?

24%

How many members will NATO have on December 31, 2025?

Will the United States remain a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2029?

96%

Comments

? comments