Question

Will Finland join NATO before 2024?

Resolved :Yes99%

128 comments128

Total Forecasters879

Community Prediction99% (98% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

46.9

Community Peer Score

17.2

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

moscars

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Ukraine Conflict

Geopolitics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Russo-Ukrainian War

Ukraine–NATO relations

Finland

NATO

Russia Warns Of NATO War Within 10 Years

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

As Russia’s threat looms, guns and defense training surge in Finland

Associated Press•Dec 19, 2024

Gun Ranges Boom in Finland Amid Rising Russian Threat

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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