Question

Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022?

Resolved :No

91 comments91

Total Forecasters832

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

69.5

Community Peer Score

32.7

median 1.0%mean 3.1%

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

25%

Will Ukraine be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Russia Launches First Missile and Drone Attack on Kyiv in Months

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

Russia fires dozens of missiles and drones at Ukraine's capital as North Korean troops start fighting in Kursk

CBS•Nov 13, 2024

Russia stages first missile attack on Kyiv since August, Ukraine says

New York Post•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

25%