Question

When will New York City's subway ridership return to pre-COVID pandemic levels for the first time?

Resolved :Nov 11, 20222024-10-12

4 comments4

Total Forecasters7

Community Prediction2024-10-12 (2023-04-27 - 2024-12-29)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<2022-03-30

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2024-12-29

...

0.1%

2023-04-27 10:33

2024-10-12 07:49

>2024-12-29 00:00

35.6%

What was the final result?Nov 11, 2022

Community Baseline Score

-23.6

Community Peer Score

33.8

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Wineclaw

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

2022-2023 Leaderboard

New York City

Metropolitan Transportation Authority

Staten Island Railway

The MTA won’t quit squeezing New Yorkers for cash — even as it shells it out by the billions

New York Post•Dec 22, 2024

G train riders jazzed about open-gangway trains coming in 2025 after ‘summer of hell’ shutdown

New York Post•Dec 23, 2024

Woman set on fire in NYC subway train dies, authorities say; suspect in custody

USA Today•Dec 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

10%

When will a majority of these US cities have autonomous public transit systems?

2041-03-03

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

118k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Wineclaw

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

2022-2023 Leaderboard

New York City

Metropolitan Transportation Authority

Staten Island Railway

The MTA won’t quit squeezing New Yorkers for cash — even as it shells it out by the billions

New York Post•Dec 22, 2024

G train riders jazzed about open-gangway trains coming in 2025 after ‘summer of hell’ shutdown

New York Post•Dec 23, 2024

Woman set on fire in NYC subway train dies, authorities say; suspect in custody

USA Today•Dec 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

10%

When will a majority of these US cities have autonomous public transit systems?

2041-03-03

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

118k

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

When will New York City's subway ridership return to pre-COVID pandemic levels for the first time?

Make a Prediction

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

When will a majority of these US cities have autonomous public transit systems?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

Comments

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

When will a majority of these US cities have autonomous public transit systems?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

When will a majority of these US cities have autonomous public transit systems?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

When will a majority of these US cities have autonomous public transit systems?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?