Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will at least four REvil gang members be in prison on May 15, 2022?

Resolved :No24%
2
6
Total Forecasters65
Community Prediction24% (10% - 32%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 24%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
64.1
Community Peer Score
6.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
White Hat Cyber
Geopolitics
Politics
Computing and Math
2022 Leaderboard
Colonial Pipeline
Russia

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