Question

Will China make a successful, major cyberattack on Taiwanese critical infrastructure before December 31, 2022?

Resolved :No

5 comments5

Total Forecasters95

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

66.3

Community Peer Score

15.9

median 1.0%mean 3.4%

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

US Department of State

China

Tamkang University

Five Eyes

Ukraine–NATO relations

Taiwan–US relations

United States Department of Homeland Security

Taiwan

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55%

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