Question

What percent of China-based threat actors' reported targets will be critical infrastructure entities in 2022?

Resolved :Ambiguous

3 comments3

Total Forecasters45

Community Prediction13.5

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>30

...

11.19

13.53

16.38

1.5%

What was the final result?Ambiguous

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Critical infrastructure

Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

55%

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Critical infrastructure

American Water cyberattack renews focus on protecting critical infrastructure

Associated Press•Oct 9, 2024

Russia Responsible for 80% of Foreign Influence Plots Globally: NATO Ally

Newsweek•Oct 10, 2024

The U.S. is investigating a China-backed hack of telecom companies. Here's what to know.

CBS•Oct 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

55%