Question

Will Russia purposely disconnect from the global Internet for national security reasons before 2023?

Resolved :Ambiguous13%

43 comments43

Total Forecasters244

Community Prediction13% (9% - 25%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 13%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

Authors:

bte

Opened:

Mar 9, 2022

Closes:

Aug 11, 2022

Resolves:

Aug 11, 2022

A Hacker Group Within Russia’s Notorious Sandworm Unit Is Breaching Western Networks

Wired•Feb 13, 2025

Russia successfully tested cutting off access to the global web as it continues to build its sovereign internet

Business Insider•Feb 16, 2025

Could Russia destabilize itself?

American Thinker•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China cut half or more of the undersea cables that connect Taiwan to the internet before the given years?

Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

40%

Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

8.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

bte

Opened:

Mar 9, 2022

Closes:

Aug 11, 2022

Resolves:

Aug 11, 2022

A Hacker Group Within Russia’s Notorious Sandworm Unit Is Breaching Western Networks

Wired•Feb 13, 2025

Russia successfully tested cutting off access to the global web as it continues to build its sovereign internet

Business Insider•Feb 16, 2025

Could Russia destabilize itself?

American Thinker•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China cut half or more of the undersea cables that connect Taiwan to the internet before the given years?

Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

40%

Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

8.5%