Question

Will any single cyberattack in 2022 result in damages over $10 billion?

Resolved :No

5 comments5

Total Forecasters61

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

69.6

Community Peer Score

15.2

median 1.0%mean 4.7%

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Information technology

Cybersecurity standards

Cyber-security regulation

Ransomware

US Hacker Sentenced for $4.5 Billion Bitcoin Heist.

•Nov 16, 2024

Bitfinex Hacker Gets 5 Years for $10 Billion Bitcoin Heist

Wired•Nov 16, 2024

What a second Trump term means for the future of ransomware

TechCrunch•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

31.2%

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

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