Question

Will any single cyberattack in 2022 result in damages over $10 billion?

Resolved :No1%

5 comments5

Total Forecasters61

Community Prediction1% (1% - 4%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

69.6

Community Peer Score

15.2

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Mar 22, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Information technology

Cybersecurity standards

Cyber-security regulation

Ransomware

Crypto exchange Bybit says it was hacked and lost around $1.4B

TechCrunch•Feb 22, 2025

Hackers steal $1.5 billion from exchange Bybit in biggest-ever crypto heist

CNBC•Feb 22, 2025

Hackers steal $1.5 billion from exchange Bybit in biggest-ever crypto heist

NBC•Feb 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

31.2%

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

25%

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Mar 22, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Information technology

Cybersecurity standards

Cyber-security regulation

Ransomware

Crypto exchange Bybit says it was hacked and lost around $1.4B

TechCrunch•Feb 22, 2025

Hackers steal $1.5 billion from exchange Bybit in biggest-ever crypto heist

CNBC•Feb 22, 2025

Hackers steal $1.5 billion from exchange Bybit in biggest-ever crypto heist

NBC•Feb 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

31.2%

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

25%

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

80%