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Question
Will a new zero day vulnerability be exploited against and result in the compromise of 100 million Americans’ personal information by June 30, 2022?
Resolved :NoTotal Forecasters68
Community Prediction1%
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Did this actually happen?No
median 1.0%mean 4.5%
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Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?
10%
Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses autonomously self-replicating LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?
1%
Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?
1%
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? commentsAuthors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?
10%
Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses autonomously self-replicating LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?
1%
Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?
1%