Question

Will a new zero day vulnerability be exploited against and result in the compromise of 100 million Americans’ personal information by June 30, 2022?

Resolved :No

5 comments5

Total Forecasters68

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

66.8

Community Peer Score

26.6

median 1.0%mean 4.5%

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses autonomously self-replicating LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Not to alarm you, but your Social Security number is already leaked

Independent•Nov 14, 2024

Major Data Breach Exposes Personal Information of 1.5 Million Americans

Breitbart•Nov 15, 2024

China Penetrated US Telecom Providers to Snoop on Wiretapping Systems

•Nov 15, 2024

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