Question

Will a DDoS attack of greater than 3.5TPS occur in 2022?

Resolved :No10%

17 comments17

Total Forecasters90

Community Prediction10% (4% - 16%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-31.6

Community Peer Score

41.4

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Denial-of-service attack

Microsoft

The Most Significant U.S. Weather Events Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

US targets TP-Link with a potential ban on the Chinese routers

Verge•Dec 18, 2024

Forbes•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses autonomously self-replicating LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

0.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Denial-of-service attack

Microsoft

The Most Significant U.S. Weather Events Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

US targets TP-Link with a potential ban on the Chinese routers

Verge•Dec 18, 2024

Forbes•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses autonomously self-replicating LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

0.5%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will a DDoS attack of greater than 3.5TPS occur in 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses autonomously self-replicating LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Comments

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses autonomously self-replicating LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses autonomously self-replicating LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses autonomously self-replicating LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?