Question

Will Benoit Lecomte successfully swim across the Pacific Ocean?

Resolved :No

8 comments8

Total Forecasters90

Community Prediction51%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 51%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-2.6

Community Peer Score

3.5

median 51.0%mean 49.6%

Authors:

chipman

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Sports & Entertainment

Guinness World Records

San Francisco

California

Benoît Lecomte

I walked 28,000 miles around the world - here's the gesture EVERYONE understood

Daily Mail•Nov 11, 2024

Two-time shark attack survivor in Florida says he can’t wait to surf again

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Ex-army officer paralysed from his neck down on left side aims to become the first disabled person to ski solo and unsupported to the South Pole

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

chipman

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Sports & Entertainment

Guinness World Records

San Francisco

California

Benoît Lecomte

I walked 28,000 miles around the world - here's the gesture EVERYONE understood

Daily Mail•Nov 11, 2024

Two-time shark attack survivor in Florida says he can’t wait to surf again

CNN•Nov 11, 2024

Ex-army officer paralysed from his neck down on left side aims to become the first disabled person to ski solo and unsupported to the South Pole

Daily Mail•Nov 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will someone hold their breath for more than 30 minutes before 2025?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

15%

When will the longest spaceflight of any one person reach 5 years?

2040-12-30