Question

Will average semiconductor chip lead times (amount of time between order and delivery) drop to below 15 weeks at any point before July 1, 2022?

Resolved :No

14 comments14

Total Forecasters100

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

median 1.0%mean 5.2%

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

In January 2030, what will the Federal Reserves' Index be for industrial production of semiconductors and circuit boards?

591

Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

59%

Comments

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Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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In January 2030, what will the Federal Reserves' Index be for industrial production of semiconductors and circuit boards?

591

Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

59%

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Will average semiconductor chip lead times (amount of time between order and delivery) drop to below 15 weeks at any point before July 1, 2022?

Make a Prediction

In January 2030, what will the Federal Reserves' Index be for industrial production of semiconductors and circuit boards?

Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

Comments

In January 2030, what will the Federal Reserves' Index be for industrial production of semiconductors and circuit boards?

Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

In January 2030, what will the Federal Reserves' Index be for industrial production of semiconductors and circuit boards?

Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

In January 2030, what will the Federal Reserves' Index be for industrial production of semiconductors and circuit boards?

Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?