Question

Will there be a publicly reported cyberattack against the global navigation satellite systems between April 1, 2022 and May 31, 2023?

Resolved :No

7 comments7

Total Forecasters38

Community Prediction20%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

63.8

Community Peer Score

27.4

median 20.0%mean 25.7%

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Global Positioning System

Cyberattack

Will a non-test ASAT weapon be used against a satellite before 2030?

29.7%

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

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