Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will there be a publicly reported cyberattack against the global navigation satellite systems between April 1, 2022 and May 31, 2023?

Resolved :No20%
3
7
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction20% (16% - 36%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
63.8
Community Peer Score
27.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
White Hat Cyber
Politics
Computing and Math
Economy & Business
Technology
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Physics
Satellite navigation
Communication
Global Positioning System
Cyberattack

Comments

? comments