Question

Will a cyberattack target a major system's data integrity before July 1, 2022?

Resolved :No32.8%

3 comments3

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction32.8% (15% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 32.8%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

35.7

Community Peer Score

15.7

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Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Cyber-security regulation

Information security

Critical infrastructure

Ransomware

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Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Cyber-security regulation

Information security

Critical infrastructure

Ransomware

Rhode Island says personal data likely breached in social services cyberattack

TechCrunch•Dec 16, 2024

US cybersecurity agency ‘warns’ government officials, politicians: "...immediately review and apply…"

•Dec 20, 2024

FBI, CISA issue warning for cross Apple-Android texting

•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will a cyberattack target a major system's data integrity before July 1, 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Comments

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025?

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?