Question

Will the U.S. Congress pass legislation authorizing at least $50 billion to the semiconductor industry before May 1, 2022?

Resolved :No41%

18 comments18

Total Forecasters43

Community Prediction41% (35% - 44%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 41%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

4.9

Community Peer Score

8.7

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Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Semiconductor industry

US govt. grants combined $958m subsidy to SK hynix

Korea Herald•Dec 19, 2024

As Trump 2.0 looms, Taiwan’s chip industry braces for upheaval

Al Jazeera•Dec 19, 2024

TSMC says first advanced U.S. chip fab 'dang near back' on schedule. Here’s an inside look

CNBC•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

57%

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

55%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Semiconductor industry

US govt. grants combined $958m subsidy to SK hynix

Korea Herald•Dec 19, 2024

As Trump 2.0 looms, Taiwan’s chip industry braces for upheaval

Al Jazeera•Dec 19, 2024

TSMC says first advanced U.S. chip fab 'dang near back' on schedule. Here’s an inside look

CNBC•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

57%

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

55%

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Will the U.S. Congress pass legislation authorizing at least $50 billion to the semiconductor industry before May 1, 2022?

Make a Prediction

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

Comments

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?