Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

In the next round of FITARA (Federal Information Technology Acquisition Reform Act) scoring, will the median cyber grade for the covered federal departments and agencies come out as a “B-” or higher?

Resolved :No34%
8
Total Forecasters51
Community Prediction34% (26.2% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 34%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
40.5
Community Peer Score
15.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
White Hat Cyber
Technology
Computing and Math
2022 Leaderboard
Federal Information Technology Acquisition Reform Act

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