Group
Which of these US infrastructure sectors will be hit by a ransomware attack by May 30, 2023?
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 32
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| US Infrastructure Sector | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Water Treatment | no | |||
Gas/Oil Pipeline | no | |||
Aviation | no | |||
Meatpacking | no | |||
Nuclear Energy | no | |||
Resolved Dec 31, 2022
Community Baseline Score
55.9
Community Peer Score
1.3
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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?
1%
Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?
31.2%
When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?
2052-08-27
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Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?
1%
Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?
31.2%
When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?
2052-08-27