M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Question

Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024?

Resolved :No
53
245
Total Forecasters897
Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

median 1.0%mean 1.7%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Gaia
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Ukraine Conflict
Verity
Red Lines in Ukraine
Geopolitics
International Nuclear Event Scale
Zaporizhia Nuclear Power Plant
Chernobyl disaster
International Atomic Energy Agency
Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster
Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant
Ukraine

Comments

? comments