Question

Will OpenAI's machine system defeat a pro team at Dota 2 in August?

Resolved :Yes66%

23 comments23

Total Forecasters244

Community Prediction66% (56% - 82%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 66%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

47.7

Community Peer Score

14.5

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

OpenAI Under Fire: Leadership Shake-ups and Rising Competition

•Dec 17, 2024

OpenAI has 4 big challenges it needs to conquer in its quest for AI dominance

•Dec 17, 2024

OpenAI Upgrades Its Smartest AI Model With Improved Reasoning Skills

Wired•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

27%

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

60%

When Will an AI be Amongst the Best Forecasters on Metaculus

2026-06-06

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

OpenAI Under Fire: Leadership Shake-ups and Rising Competition

•Dec 17, 2024

OpenAI has 4 big challenges it needs to conquer in its quest for AI dominance

•Dec 17, 2024

OpenAI Upgrades Its Smartest AI Model With Improved Reasoning Skills

Wired•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

27%

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

60%

When Will an AI be Amongst the Best Forecasters on Metaculus

2026-06-06

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will OpenAI's machine system defeat a pro team at Dota 2 in August?

Make a Prediction

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

When Will an AI be Amongst the Best Forecasters on Metaculus

Comments

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

When Will an AI be Amongst the Best Forecasters on Metaculus

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

When Will an AI be Amongst the Best Forecasters on Metaculus

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

When Will an AI be Amongst the Best Forecasters on Metaculus