Question

Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022?

Resolved :No1%

12 comments12

Total Forecasters401

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

96.0

Community Peer Score

4.2

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Ukraine Conflict

Geopolitics

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North Atlantic Treaty

Ukraine–NATO relations

United States

NATO

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