Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How much will China spend on importing diodes and semiconductors in 2022?

Resolved :29.3M37.8M
5
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction37.8M (29.7M - 46.5M)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<10M
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100M
...
...
...
...
...
2.1%
29.72M
37.79M
46.53M
0.2%

What was the final result?29.3M

Community Baseline Score
54.6
Community Peer Score
21.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
China and Global Cooperation
AI in China
Computing and Math
Technology
2022 Leaderboard
Materials science
Engineering
China
Semiconductor
Taiwan–US relations
Diode
Diodes Incorporated
Physics
Electronics

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