Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many Japanese Encephalitis deaths will there be in Australia before July 2022?

Resolved :54.66
2
8
Total Forecasters19
Community Prediction4.66 (3.39 - 7.14)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1k
...
...
...
...
3.392
4.663
7.142
0.1%

What was the final result?5

Community Baseline Score
68.5
Community Peer Score
18.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Gyr
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2022 Leaderboard
Victoria (Australia)
Queensland
Department of Health (Australia)
New South Wales
Neurology
Epidemiology
Infectious disease
Australia
Japanese encephalitis

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