Question

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2041?

21 comments21

Total Forecasters98

Community Prediction75% (50% - 84%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 75%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Aug 14, 2022

Closes:

Dec 30, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2041

If Iran goes nuclear, B-2 bomber will get the call

FOX News•Feb 12, 2025

Iranian Lawmakers Demand Nuke to Stop Trump

Breitbart•Feb 13, 2025

Iran is rearming its missile program and a ship of supplies just arrived from China, Western sources say

CNN•Feb 14, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

20%

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