Question

Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024?

Resolved :No

28 comments28

Total Forecasters436

Community Prediction0.1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

78.2

Community Peer Score

40.7

median 0.1%mean 1.9%

Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

International sanctions

Russo-Georgian War

Russia

Will Georgia control South Ossetia and Abkhazia before 2028?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

International sanctions

Russo-Georgian War

Russia

Thousands rally in Georgia to question the vote and demand a new election

Associated Press•Nov 12, 2024

Will they ever learn? Kiev déjà vu in Tbilisi

Strategic Culture•Nov 15, 2024

Protesters storm Putin-backed parliament in Georgia breakaway region

•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Georgia control South Ossetia and Abkhazia before 2028?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

25%