Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many border crossings leaving Ukraine will there be in 2022?

Resolved :Above upper bound8M
16
36
Total Forecasters295
Community Prediction8M (8M - 8M)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>8M
...
...
...
...
>8M
>8M
>8M
75.1%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
18.1
Community Peer Score
25.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Gaia
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Ukraine Conflict
Verity
Geopolitics
2022 Leaderboard
Donetsk
Luhansk
Moldova
President of Russia
United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees Representation in Cyprus
Hungary
Slovakia
Poland
Ukraine

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