Question

Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023?

Resolved :No

40 comments40

Total Forecasters707

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

94.7

Community Peer Score

22.0

median 1.0%mean 1.6%

Authors:

stanulamstan havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024?

0.5%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

25%

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