Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023?

Resolved :No1%
25
40
Total Forecasters707
Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
94.7
Community Peer Score
22.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
stanulamstanhavlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Ukraine Conflict
Verity
Geopolitics
2022 Leaderboard
Belarus
Russo-Ukrainian War
Volodymyr Zelensky
Kiev
Ukraine
Russia

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