Question

Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023?

Resolved :No1%

40 comments40

Total Forecasters707

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

94.7

Community Peer Score

22.0

Authors:

stanulamstan havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Mar 14, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Ukraine's Kurakhove Has Fallen, Russia Says

Newsweek•Jan 26, 2025

Kursk Maps Show Ukraine's Shock New Incursions Into Russia

Newsweek•Jan 26, 2025

Ukraine-Russia war map 2025: Where are Putin’s forces making gains on the frontline?

Independent•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

33%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Mar 14, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Ukraine's Kurakhove Has Fallen, Russia Says

Newsweek•Jan 26, 2025

Kursk Maps Show Ukraine's Shock New Incursions Into Russia

Newsweek•Jan 26, 2025

Ukraine-Russia war map 2025: Where are Putin’s forces making gains on the frontline?

Independent•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

33%