Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many acres will burn in wildfires in California in 2022?

Resolved :364k436k
9
27
Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction436k (364k - 525k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>6M
...
...
...
...
364.4k
436.1k
525.5k
0.2%

What was the final result?364k

Community Baseline Score
-12.8
Community Peer Score
50.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
moultano
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Environment & Climate
2022 Leaderboard
California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection
California
List of California wildfires

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